EARLY VOTING WILL NOT GIVE CLINTON THE BOOST SHE NEEDS BECAUSE SHE CANNOT ATTRACT ENOUGH MINORITY VOTERS.

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The Presidential election is November 8th, 2016, but voting actually starts on Sept. 23 in Minnesota and South Dakota. 35 other states allow people to cast ballots at polling sites or by mail before Nov. 8. The issue is whether Clinton’s possible present lead in the polls will win the day in early voting. The minority and black vote are critical for Clinton because 99 percent of black voters favor her according to the Washington Post. But it is far from clear that: (1) Minorities will vote early, and (2) That Clinton can attract the same large number of minority voters that Obama has. Early indicators are that she cannot. Her inability to do so will likely eviscerate any advantage she might have had. 

Donald Trump has been outspent 100 million to 1 by Hillary Clinton in TV ads so far during the general election. Trump supporters are keen to point out that ads didn’t do much for Jeb Bush during the primaries. The consensus is that the money spent by Clinton hasn’t been much of a determinant so far in the race where Independent voters are concerned. Polls show Clinton ahead, but the people responding to them are not necessarily Independents– many were previously committed to Clinton, and even more of them are reacting to recent perceived gaffes committed by Trump: But, such reactions have been historically temporary, and these voters have been known to change their preferences at least 60 percent of time.  Most experts believe that Trump has ample time to pull ahead of Clinton and win the election.

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