In a recent article appearing in the online site Project Syndicate, the author raises ethical considerations about the advancement of Artificial Intelligence (AI). Uppermost in the minds of many thinkers, today is the notion that machines and robots will eventually outsmart their makers (humans) and control us– all to the beat of an unknown, and possibly frightening, drum.
Not to worry, though, at least for the next many decades. The author notes, “Some doubt that super intelligence will ever be achieved. Bostrom, together with Vincent Müller, asked AI experts to indicate dates corresponding to when there is a one in two chance of machines achieving human-level intelligence and when there is a nine in ten chance. The median estimates for the one in two chance were in the 2040-2050 range, and 2075 for the nine in ten chance. Most experts expected that AI would achieve superintelligence within 30 years of achieving human- level intelligence.” Phew! The author cautions, however, that there is danger in impatience and writes:
“A fable about sparrows who think it would be great to train an owl to help them build their nests and care for their young. So they set out to find an owl egg. One sparrow objects that they should first think about how to tame the owl, but the others are impatient to get the exciting new project underway. They will take on the challenge of training the owl (for example, not to eat sparrows) when they have successfully raised one. If we want to make an owl that is wise, and not only intelligent, let’s not be like those impatient sparrows.”
Personally, when I took the hottest girl in my class on a date, I went to see “A 2001 Space Odyssey”. Afterwards, I impatiently dreamed about a process where I could implant chips in all the minds of “hot” women wherein they would adore me. Patience isn’t always a virtue– so I thought.