While voting by mail has not been uncommon in the United States, dating back to the Civil War, the Corona Virus has brought the practice to the forefront of the 2020 election. The concern is whether the Democrats will gain an advantage due to fraud when voters do not appear in person to vote.
Everyone agrees that mailed-in ballots increase voting fraud. The question is how much and whether the fraudulent votes will significantly impact swing states.
Texas Lt. Gov. Dan Patrick (R), believes that mailed ballots will swing the vote totals in favor of Democrats.
“In my view, the only way Trump loses in November is if you have a proliferation of voting by mail in state after state, particularly the swing states,” Patrick said in a clip played during the show, adding that Trump’s campaign team is “on top of it.”
“We have to fight this at all costs,” Patrick told host Alex Marlow, saying the vulnerability could give Democrats advantages in states like Wisconsin, Michigan, Ohio, and Pennsylvania.
He said once voting in person is removed, “it is absolute pandemonium. It’s wide open for fraud, and the left will take advantage of that, and they will steal every election until the end of time.”
What stops you from voting for” the person who used to live at your address if a ballot is mailed to them, he wondered.
NPR questioned the fraud argument citing, “Over the past 20 years, more than 250 million ballots have been cast by mail nationwide, while there have been just 143 criminal convictions for election fraud related to mail ballots.”
NPR did admit that “Expanding voting by mail will be a challenge in most states in 2020.”
We think the NPR analysis is fatally flawed. The 143 criminal convictions say nothing about the actual number of fraudulent votes cast.
By analogy, if 1,000 people in a particular county are issued speeding or equipment citations, each month, we know that the number of speeding drivers who escaped citations far exceeded those who were caught.
Criminal prosecution for voter fraud can be a useful tool. However, the most populated cities in the swing-states are run by Democrats and widespread prosecutions in such jurisdictions seem unlikely.
Contrary to NPR’s liberal perspective, President Trump’s concerns over mailed ballots is a legitimate concern.